For those interesting in my plays in 26min I have now flipped off the NO - on DISSENT sold my shares at 57c Swept the order book at 69c for YES 2 people Dissented the decision for a 0.25bps cut. I believe i just managed to scrounge up some free dollars.
The BIGGEST Mention Market of the MONTH && I got my plays. We going HARD on the NO's Government Shutdown, data may be sparse. Plays Below ______ Inflation 50 + Times | NO ◦ Has hit 5/6 times, with 4 being only 1-2 times over ◦ Gov shutdown means data will be minimal, therefor i lean less talking in general, we take the coin flip for NO Unemployment / Employment 25+ Times | NO ◦ Same idea as the above, data will be lower due to shutdown ◦ Averages 29 mentions, with the opening part of the speeches closer to 13+ times, if this is less than 10 in the opening comments, we should have an easy hit here ◦ Odds are skewed to the Yes, I like the risk Recession | NO ◦ He stays away from this word almost ENTIRELY ◦ Said it once in April, due to the tariff situation at the time, and since has not said it, think that trend continues. Dissent | NO ◦ Had said it only previously due to the 1st dissent from members in years, in July meeting ◦ I believe the trend continues where this is not mentioned ◦ Only concern is if asked during Q&A about it, where he had mentioned it 2x in 1 sentence AI / Artificial Intelligence | NO ◦ Said it during Q&A, one time each of the previous two meetings ◦ Taking the much lower odds on the no, in hopes we are past the AI questions, but can accept a loss here for the better odds WE RIDE!
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